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LESSONS · METEOROLOGY · 15 MINUTES · AUSTRALIA AND NZ

Thunderstorm life cycle.

A single thunderstorm cell grows, rains and dies in about half an hour. At each stage the air in it moves differently, and its hazards change.

PREDICT FIRST

You are about to take off. A thunderstorm sits a few kilometres from the aerodrome, and none of its rain has reached the runway. When can the storm first change the surface wind on the runway?

What a storm needs

Thunderstorm cell formation needs three ingredients: sufficient water vapor, unstable air, and a lifting mechanism (see Figure 22-1).

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.2 Necessary Ingredients for Thunderstorm Cell Formation

Virtually all showers and thunderstorms form in an air mass that is classified as conditionally unstable. A conditionally unstable air mass needs a lifting mechanism strong enough to release the instability.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.2 Necessary Ingredients for Thunderstorm Cell Formation

The stability lesson shows what conditionally unstable air does when it is lifted.

Three stages

It undergoes three distinct stages during its life cycle (see Figure 22-2): towering cumulus, mature, and dissipating. The total life cycle is typically about 30 minutes.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.3 Thunderstorm Cell Life Cycle

PHAK calls the first stage the cumulus stage.

It begins with the cumulus stage, in which lifting action of the air begins. If sufficient moisture and instability are present, the clouds continue to increase in vertical height. Continuous, strong updrafts prohibit moisture from falling.

FAA Pilot's Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (FAA-H-8083-25C), chapter 12, Thunderstorms

In the first stage the air in the cloud goes up. In the second, air goes up and down side by side. In the third, it only goes down.

PREDICT FIRST

A thunderstorm cell runs through its three stages. When do its weather hazards usually reach their peak?

PREDICT FIRST

A large thunderstorm has spread a wide anvil, and its rain falls under the core. Where can hail fall?

TRY IT

Watch a cell live and die

Run the storm or drag the time. PHAK puts the mature stage within about 15 minutes, and the Aviation Weather Handbook gives about 30 minutes for the whole cycle. The tops follow JetStream: perhaps 20,000 ft for the towering cumulus, and the low end of 40,000 to 60,000 ft for the mature storm. The split between the mature and dissipating stages, the cloud base and 0 °C level, the hazard line's shape and the distance to the aerodrome are illustrative, and the height scale is stretched below 10,000 ft. Lightning is drawn in the mature stage only. The Aviation Weather Handbook says every thunderstorm makes it, but none of these sources says when it starts or stops.

Hazards0102030 min
Jump to a stage
Updraft
Building
Downdraft
None yet
Rain at the ground
None: held up
Wind at the aerodrome
Calm

Towering cumulus stage · 0 to 15 min

  • A strong updraft builds the cloud upward. The Aviation Weather Handbook says it can exceed 3,000 ft per minute.
  • The updraft holds the rain and ice up in the cloud, so none reaches the ground yet.
  • Turbulent eddies around the cloud's edges.

Stage by stage

Towering cumulus

The distinguishing feature of the towering cumulus stage is a strong convective updraft. The updraft is a bubble of warm, rising air concentrated near the top of the cloud, which leaves a cloudy trail in its wake. Updraft speeds can exceed 3,000 fpm.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.3 Thunderstorm Cell Life Cycle

A cumulus cloud begins to grow vertically, perhaps to a height of 20,000 feet (6 km). Air within the cloud is dominated by upwardly-moving, warm, moist air currents called updrafts with some turbulent eddies around the edges.

NOAA National Weather Service, JetStream: Life Cycle of a Thunderstorm, The Towering Cumulus Stage

Mature

The cell transitions to the mature stage when precipitation reaches the surface. Precipitation descends through the cloud and drags the adjacent air downward, creating a strong downdraft alongside the updraft. The downdraft spreads out along the surface, well in advance of the parent thunderstorm cell, as a mass of cool, gusty air. The arc-shaped leading edge of downdraft air resembles a miniature cold front and is called a gust front.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.3 Thunderstorm Cell Life Cycle

Cumulonimbus tops frequently penetrate into the lower stratosphere as an overshooting top, where strong winds aloft distort the cloud top into an anvil shape. Weather hazards reach peak intensity toward the end of the mature stage.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.3 Thunderstorm Cell Life Cycle

The storm has considerable depth, often reaching 40,000 to 60,000 feet (12 to 18 km). Strong updrafts and downdrafts coexist. This is the most dangerous stage, when tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding may occur.

NOAA National Weather Service, JetStream: Life Cycle of a Thunderstorm, The Mature Cumulus Stage

PHAK times the anvil differently. It puts it at the start of the dissipating stage. The simulation follows the Aviation Weather Handbook.

Once the vertical motion near the top of the cloud slows down, the top of the cloud spreads out and takes on an anvil-like shape. At this point, the storm enters the dissipating stage.

FAA Pilot's Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (FAA-H-8083-25C), chapter 12, Thunderstorms

Dissipating

The dissipating stage is marked by a strong downdraft embedded within the area of precipitation. Subsiding air replaces the updraft throughout the cloud, effectively cutting off the supply of moisture provided by the updraft. Precipitation tapers off and ends. Compression warms the subsiding air and the relative humidity drops. The convective cloud gradually vaporizes from below, leaving only a remnant anvil cloud.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.3 Thunderstorm Cell Life Cycle

Light rain and weak outflow winds may remain for a while during this stage before leaving behind just a remnant anvil top.

NOAA National Weather Service, JetStream: Life Cycle of a Thunderstorm, The Dissipating Stage

The hazards

All thunderstorms have conditions that are hazards to aviation. These hazards occur in numerous combinations. While not every thunderstorm contains all hazards, it is not possible to visually determine which hazards a thunderstorm contains. Hazards include low ceiling and visibility, lightning, adverse winds, downbursts, turbulence, icing, hail, rapid altimeter changes, static electricity, tornadoes, and engine water ingestion.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7 Hazards

Turbulence and the gust front

Turbulence is present in all thunderstorms, and severe or extreme turbulence is common. A severe thunderstorm can destroy an aircraft. Gust loads can be severe enough to stall an aircraft at maneuvering speed or to cause structural damage at cruising speed. The strongest turbulence within the cloud occurs between updrafts and downdrafts.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 19, 19.2.1.1 Thunderstorms

The low-level wind-shear zone between the gust front and surrounding air is very turbulent airspace.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 19, 19.2.1.1 Thunderstorms

Downbursts on take-off and landing

A downburst or microburst is dangerous to aircraft when climbing from takeoff or approaching to land. During these phases, the aircraft is operating at slow speeds. A major change of wind velocity can lead to loss of lift and a crash.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7.3 Downburst and Microburst

Hail

Hail competes with turbulence as the greatest thunderstorm hazard to aircraft.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 14, 14.4.5 Hail

Icing

Thunderstorms produce abundant supercooled liquid water above the freezing level.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 20, 20.3.9 Convective Icing

The abundance of supercooled water makes clear icing very rapid between 0°C and -15°C, and encounters can be frequent in a cluster of cells.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 20, 20.3.9 Convective Icing

Lightning and visibility

Every thunderstorm produces lightning and thunder by definition.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7.2 Lightning

Nearby lightning can blind the pilot, rendering the pilot momentarily unable to navigate either by instrument or by visual reference.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7.2 Lightning

Generally, visibility is near zero within a thunderstorm cloud.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7.1 Low Ceiling and Visibility

The altimeter

Pressure usually falls rapidly with the approach of a thunderstorm. Pressure then usually rises sharply with the onset of the first gust and arrival of the cold downdraft and heavy rain, falling back to normal as the thunderstorm passes. This cycle of pressure change may occur in 15 minutes. If the pilot does not receive a corrected altimeter setting, the altimeter may be more than 100 ft in error.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.7.7 Rapid Altimeter Changes

One cell, many cells

One cell lasts about half an hour, but a storm area can keep going for hours, because new cells keep forming.

Single-cell thunderstorms are rare; almost all thunderstorms are multicell.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.4 Thunderstorm Types

A multicell cluster thunderstorm (see Figure 22-3 and Figure 22-4) consists of a cluster of cells at various stages of their life cycle. With an organized multicell cluster, as the first cell matures, it is carried downwind, and a new cell forms upwind to take its place. A multicell cluster may have a lifetime of several hours (or more).

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.4 Thunderstorm Types

Keep clear

Thunderstorms are barriers to air traffic because they are usually too tall to fly over, too dangerous to fly through or under, and can be difficult to circumnavigate. Weather recognizable as a thunderstorm should be considered hazardous, as penetration of any thunderstorm can lead to an aircraft accident and fatalities to those on board.

FAA Aviation Weather Handbook (FAA-H-8083-28B), chapter 22, 22.1 Introduction

It is impossible to fly over thunderstorms in light aircraft.

FAA Pilot's Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (FAA-H-8083-25C), chapter 12, Thunderstorms

Flying under thunderstorms can subject aircraft to rain, hail, damaging lightning, and violent turbulence.

FAA Pilot's Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (FAA-H-8083-25C), chapter 12, Thunderstorms

Lock it in.

76 Australian and 54 New Zealand practice questions on meteorology. The ones you miss come back sooner.

SOURCES FOR THIS LESSON

Source-checked, awaiting pilot review. Learning only. Your aircraft's flight manual and your instructor come first. Sources and licences